What will be the scenario of
development after 2013 elections???????????
Most probable aspects of
international interests are may be as pro-West and pro-Arab policies prevail in center as PML-N leader Muhammad Nawaz Sharif has special liking by Arab and Western
powers so the national policies will favor the American and western interests.
This would result to the safe passage to America to flee from Afghanistan via
Pakistan. Drone attacks will not stop so there will be more chances of army
insurgencies into tribal areas as drone attacks will urge tribes to rebellion.
This issue has already sensitize tribes by the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf by long march in support of tribal areas.
Due to western policies there will
be more funds and financial aids and debts from International Monitory Fund and
World Bank etc. so our economic policies will be govern by IMF and World
bank,this will hamper our economic development as we have seen in the history
that whenever policies of west were implemented ignoring the indigenous
scenario, it prove havoc that can be seen in case of Structural Adjustment
Program. On the other hand there will be a mild temporary economic growth
results from the Arab and western investment
as central govt. (PML-N) has a history of good relationship with Arab
Investors and the other factor is that there will be a boost to construction industry
as construction industry is a special field of interest for PML-N govt. so
result will be the temporary betterment of economic conditions on one hand while
clench to this betterment on the other hand as western policies will lead to
shut down of many Important development projects like Pak-Iran gas pipeline
project and proper working of Gwadar port.
Another important sight of this new
govt. would be the relations with army as mr.Nawaz sharif has a history of
clash with army and in his recent interview to an Indian television he put his
anger out for army, and there is also a policy clash between Nawaz sharif and
army to west as former is pro-west while from 2005 the arm has a policy shift
from pro-west to pro-national. So in this situation it would may result into
deadlock and if this would happen then democracy would be crashed down. More
army is still on western border and in my views this situation prevails and
central govt. will be in favour of more insurgencies to tribal areas.
Our international relations will be
better with India, USA, UK, and Afghanistan as it seems to be necessary for
Pakistan to have good relations in order to provide safe passage to America.
While considering china it is difficult to predict as Nawaz Sharif spoke
against the Gwadar handover to china, which displeased the Chinese. The other
side of the picture is that America will like to hamper this relationship to
damage the Chinese strategic interests in Pakistan which is the first pearl in
the string of pearls. While relations with India would be better and there may
be a chance of trade bloc between SAARC countries,if this bloc would be made
then there would be better chances for economic growth.
While considering education these
elections have cleared the picture that PML-N govt. is elected by the majority
of illiterate class and literate majority had vote for other options, so in
this scenario how it is possible for a govt. to decrease that class which has
chosen them so long term and sustainable achievement in education is out of
focus. Contrarily some show off projects like laptop or Danish school will be
the main focus. Another chance is that there may be a chance for higher education
to be slightly better off as some scholarships and internships may be awarded
to higher education students. But sustainable education policies and
development to boost literacy rate and capabilities of students is seem
difficult task for govt. as there are more crises to be settled down.
So overall this govt. has a lot of
challenges like terrorism, energy crises, relations with neighboring
countries, education condition, law in order situation, social development, and
above all economic development. In the beginning it will start to better off
but 2014 is the year of American flee from Afghanistan so this year will be the
real test for the govt. as America would like to control govt. and run it by
her own terms to flee safely, so she will try to burden Pakistan on so many
fronts that it will be unavoidable for Pakistan to release American pressure
and avoid American dictations, which will be the push back to prosperity.
