development scenario after elections

What will be the scenario of development after 2013 elections???????????

Most probable aspects of international interests are may be as pro-West and pro-Arab policies prevail in center as PML-N leader Muhammad Nawaz Sharif has special liking by Arab and Western powers so the national policies will favor the American and western interests. This would result to the safe passage to America to flee from Afghanistan via Pakistan. Drone attacks will not stop so there will be more chances of army insurgencies into tribal areas as drone attacks will urge tribes to rebellion. This issue has already sensitize tribes by the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf  by long march in support of  tribal areas.

Due to western policies there will be more funds and financial aids and debts from International Monitory Fund and World Bank etc. so our economic policies will be govern by IMF and World bank,this will hamper our economic development as we have seen in the history that whenever policies of west were implemented ignoring the indigenous scenario, it prove havoc that can be seen in case of Structural Adjustment Program. On the other hand there will be a mild temporary economic growth results from the Arab and western investment  as central govt. (PML-N) has a history of good relationship with Arab Investors and the other factor is that there will be a boost to construction industry as construction industry is a special field of interest for PML-N govt. so result will be the temporary betterment of economic conditions on one hand while clench to this betterment on the other hand as western policies will lead to shut down of many Important development projects like Pak-Iran gas pipeline project and proper working of Gwadar port.

Another important sight of this new govt. would be the relations with army as mr.Nawaz sharif has a history of clash with army and in his recent interview to an Indian television he put his anger out for army, and there is also a policy clash between Nawaz sharif and army to west as former is pro-west while from 2005 the arm has a policy shift from pro-west to pro-national. So in this situation it would may result into deadlock and if this would happen then democracy would be crashed down. More army is still on western border and in my views this situation prevails and central govt. will be in favour of more insurgencies to tribal areas.

Our international relations will be better with India, USA, UK, and Afghanistan as it seems to be necessary for Pakistan to have good relations in order to provide safe passage to America. While considering china it is difficult to predict as Nawaz Sharif spoke against the Gwadar handover to china, which displeased the Chinese. The other side of the picture is that America will like to hamper this relationship to damage the Chinese strategic interests in Pakistan which is the first pearl in the string of pearls. While relations with India would be better and there may be a chance of trade bloc between SAARC countries,if this bloc would be made then there would be better chances for economic growth.

While considering education these elections have cleared the picture that PML-N govt. is elected by the majority of illiterate class and literate majority had vote for other options, so in this scenario how it is possible for a govt. to decrease that class which has chosen them so long term and sustainable achievement in education is out of focus. Contrarily some show off projects like laptop or Danish school will be the main focus. Another chance is that there may be a chance for higher education to be slightly better off as some scholarships and internships may be awarded to higher education students. But sustainable education policies and development to boost literacy rate and capabilities of students is seem difficult task for govt. as there are more crises to be settled down.

So overall this govt. has a lot of challenges like terrorism, energy crises, relations with neighboring countries, education condition, law in order situation, social development, and above all economic development. In the beginning it will start to better off but 2014 is the year of American flee from Afghanistan so this year will be the real test for the govt. as America would like to control govt. and run it by her own terms to flee safely, so she will try to burden Pakistan on so many fronts that it will be unavoidable for Pakistan to release American pressure and avoid American dictations, which will be the push back to prosperity.